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Planning and forecasting

Planning and forecasting of scientific and innovative activities

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The basis for making state decisions in the scientific and technical sphere is planning and forecasting. Forecasting the development of science and technology in...

Planning and forecasting of investment activities

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Forecasting and planning of investments occupies a special place in the system of state regulation of investment activities. Investment forecasting is carried out for...

Small Business Planning and Forecasting

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The most important forms of state regulation of small business are planning, programming and forecasting, through which state policy...

Planning and forecasting of industries

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In the system of state regulation of industry, forecasting, planning and programming occupy a central place.Forecasting the industry allows...

Planning and forecasting of agro-industrial complex

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In the system of measures regulating the development of the agro-industrial complex, a special place is given to planning,...

Methods of expert forecasting

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Actually, the methods of forecasting include four methods of working with experts. These are the methods of correspondence and...

Random variable and general sampling forecasting scheme

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Unlike the intuitive forecasting methods discussed in the previous chapter, further study of forecasting methods is devoted to the...

Estimating the accuracy of random variable prediction

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The easiest way to characterize the accuracy of the forecast is to indicate the extent of fluctuations in the...

General forecasting scheme using a regression dependency

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In practice, not only the values of the predicted value for objects similar to the object of forecasting or...

Estimating the parameters of the regression equation

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To use the regression equation to predict, you have to calculate the coefficients and regression equations. And there...

Checking the significance of the regression equation

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After the regression equation is constructed and its accuracy is estimated using the coefficient of determination, the question remains...

Time series forecasting

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A time series is a time-ordered value of a predicted quantity. In practice, time series forecasting is most often...

Determination of the seasonal component of the time series

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Depending on the nature of seasonal fluctuations, two types of models are distinguished – additive and multiplicative.According to the...

Additive model

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First, seasonal deviations from the intended trend are found for each point of the time series, for this:– there...

Cartoon model

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The method of determining the seasonal component (in relation to the multiplicative model, it is often called the seasonality...

Determining the Trend of a Time Series

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After seasonal variations have been excluded from the original time series, the trend of the time series is determined...

Balance method in planning

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The traditional and most common planning method in economics is the balance method, implemented through a system of balance...

Normative planning method

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The normative method is a planning method based on the application of norms and standards to substantiate planning, program...

Expert Survey

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As a rule, experts show more reliable results if they answer pre-posed questions, so when preparing a survey, they...

Program-target method

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The program-target method acts as the most important method of solving complex problems, usually of an interdepartmental nature. It...

Processing of quantitative answers of experts

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The result of the work of experts is usually a whole palette of opinions. The task of processing the...

Planning with Optimization Models

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Optimization models are based on the selection of the optimal option from a variety of possible ones by comparing...

Processing of qualitative assessments of experts

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In cases where the predicted parameter cannot be estimated in a quantitative scale, it is evaluated in a qualitative...

Planning and forecasting of economic development and economic growth

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The basis of state regulation of economic development and economic growth rates in the Republic of Belarus are the...

The concept, essence and types of national planning

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One of the main achievements of human civilization is the systematic development of society. It is planning that allows...

Programming as a form of state regulation of the economy

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Programming is the most important form of state regulation of the economy and a type of planning. Its task...

Forecasting in the system of state regulation of the economy

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An increasing place in the system of state regulation is occupied by forecasting, which can act as an independent...

The concept and main elements of the planning and forecasting methodology

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The methodology of planning and forecasting is understood as a system of approaches, principles, indicators, methods and methods for...

Basic methodological principles of planning

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The fundamental principle of state planning is the principle of social orientation and priority of public needs. It assumes...

Fundamental approaches and principles of forecasting

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Objectivity and knowability of socio-economic processes serve as the theoretical foundation of forecasting. Based on the qualitative and quantitative...

Scorecard used in planning and forecasting

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The basis for the development of planning, program and forecast documents are indicators that allow to comprehensively describe social...

Information support of forecasting and planning processes

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The most important prerequisite for obtaining a reliable and high-quality planning and forecast document is the availability of an...

Economic analysis, its content and place in the system of planning and forecasting

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Economic analysis of the initial level, the state of the object in the past and present is the...

Areas of application and general scheme of work on the development of expert forecast

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The basis of all varieties of expert forecasting methods is the use of expert knowledge about the object of...

Search and selection of experts

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The composition of experts involved in forecasting is a key parameter determining the quality of the future forecast, for...

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