The Russian Federation, which experts in the field of regionalistics consider a unique country not only on a European, but also on a global scale, demonstrates not only a huge territory and multiplicity of regions, but also colossal differences in the natural, historical, socio-demographic, economic and political conditions of their development. Since Russia embarked on […]
Tag: trends
Cartoon model
The method of determining the seasonal component (in relation to the multiplicative model, it is often called the seasonality index) is in many respects similar to the additive model. As in the previous case, centered moving averages are determined and seasonal deviations are found with their help. But unlike the additive model, seasonal deviations are […]
Determination of the seasonal component of the time series
Depending on the nature of seasonal fluctuations, two types of models are distinguished – additive and multiplicative. According to the additive model, the time series with seasonal fluctuations is represented as: where: is the value of the predicted variable for the -th point in time; – trend […]
Economic analysis, its content and place in the system of planning and forecasting
Economic analysis of the initial level, the state of the object in the past and present is the most important element of the logic of planning and forecasting. It allows you to reveal the essence of the object (process, phenomenon), to determine the patterns of its changes in the past, in the planned and forecasted […]
The concept and main elements of the planning and forecasting methodology
The methodology of planning and forecasting is understood as a system of approaches, principles, indicators, methods and methods for developing and justifying forecasts and planning decisions, as well as the logic of planning and forecasting. The methodology is based on economic theory, which studies the laws and laws of the development of society, the main […]